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Forecast for 2012

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Raymond Merriman

It's that time of the year again!  With extra 10% discount for those who bought a yearly book with us before by using he Discount code pre2012 in the webshop ordering process.

MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2011 is only a little more than 75% over, several forecasts made in the 2011 book have already unfolded. Below is a list of some of the forecasts made in the 2011 book. We will try to update this as the year continues.

The regular retail price will remain at $55.00 this year, and will be in effect after October 15, 2011. As always, the book will be published and distributed around December 15. Keep tuned to this website for more information on ordering the 2012 Forecast Book, and updates on the 2011 book.

Also please note that Ray Merriman will be in Amsterdam for a 'Forecast for 2012' lecture and private Q&A meeting with subscribers. With special discount for those who have bought the 2012 book! Read more here>>

SCORECARD FOR FORECAST 2011

Written by Raymond Merriman

• Specific Times 1): “The winter season begins with a lunar eclipse right on the winter solstice of December 21, forming a potent T-square with Pluto in Capricorn and the Jupiter-Uranus conjunction in late Pisces. This … suggests the possibility of great conflict and even military threats in the world. World leaders are vulnerable to making impulsive and unwise decisions.” That was an understatement as social unrest toppled several governments in the Middle East, including Egypt and Tunisia, and threatening Libya as well.

• Specific Times 2): “The U.S. stock market however seems mostly positive. There could be sudden and sharp declines into or immediately following January 3-10 and February 11-22.” The stock market was mostly positive during the winter season 2011, with the high for the season realized in February 18.

• Specific Times 3): “The end of winter coincides with inclement weather. March 18-28 coincides with high winds, tornadoes, earthquakes, and sudden electrical storms, perhaps even flooding.” The actual event related to this signature was the devastating earthquake in Japan on March 11, followed by the equally devastating tsunami and nuclear leak the following week, all at the end of the winter season.

• Specific Times 4): “Battle lines are being drawn, both literally and figuratively in April. This is a period of sabotage with the intent to harm another, especially April 2-22. A war could erupt, or strong and threatening words could be hurled. This is not a good time to start a conflict unless you have enough support to your position.” This is when the rebel uprising in Libya started, with NATO supporting the rebels against Col. Gadhafi.

• Specific Times 5): “This entire period (June 21-July 15) highlights tensions between the USA government, its central bank, and the populace, all over monetary and fiscal policy and the effort to contain the Federal deficit… The sudden and unexpected announcements create much volatility in the price of many financial markets. In fact, another round of sharp price movements in currencies and precious metals is likely July 19-August 1.” This coincided with the tumultuous debate and difficulty in coming to an agreement to raise the debt ceiling limit. It was finally increased on July 31. The U.S. stock market made a secondary peak July 21-22, and then began a sharp decline into August. Gold, Japanese Yen, and Swiss franc soared to new all-time highs, and the U.S. Treasuries shortly afterwards.

• Specific Times 6): “The period around the full moon in August (August 8-15) may be particularly alarming. Something totally unexpected is likely to arise. It may have to do with a new idea (or act) regarding financial policy that is extremely upsetting to many people.” On Friday, August 5, after the stock markets closed, the S&P ratings agency downgraded the USA triple A credit rating for the first time ever. The following week, stock markets around the world plummeted. The U.S. Treasury and White House condemned the downgrade in very strong terms. The USA Justice Department then announced it will start a probe into S&P rating agency for its possible role in the financial meltdown of 2008.

 • • The U.S.A. economy: “The progressed Sun is in trine to Jupiter, which augurs economic growth… also implies the employment situation will grow again. However this growth may be modest and followed by another severe decline… Another (economic crisis) can erupt at any time as long as the greater part of the Cardinal Climax is in effect (2008-2015). However, until June 2011, while Jupiter and Uranus are both in Aries, or even while Jupiter is in Taurus, it is more likely that one will not erupt just yet.” The economy and jobs situation were growing modestly until June 2011. Then, everything began to unravel in July and August as the debate on the USA debt ceiling grew tense though July, and was followed the downgrade of the U.S.A. credit rating by S&P.

• • President Obama: “The more resistant he is, the more he elicits criticism from others. This could quite possibly result in a standoff, or what Americans like to call “gridlock” between the president and the new Congress. If it comes down to a vote, the President will likely be on the losing side. He doesn’t get what he wants, or there are delays, probably until he is willing to compromise or surrender. Under Saturn, it is hard to advance one’s agenda on one’s own terms. In fact, one may feel like quitting, for it can be very frustrating to push for what you believe in, only to have others deny you the recognition or success you feel you deserve. The solution, however, is found in the characteristics of the sign Saturn is in, which is Libra. And Libra works best by fostering an atmosphere of agreement and cooperation, of compromise and conciliation. For this reason, it is very possible that Obama will shift more to the center, especially if he hopes to accomplish any of his goals this year.” This was absolutely true in the debacle to raise debt ceiling limit.

• • Treasury Notes (10-Year): “But in either case, the next 6-year cycle trough is due 2011-2014. In the meantime, the crest of the current 6-year cycle will happen first. The price target for this crest is 131/27, +/- 4/05.” As of this writing in early August 2011, the T-Notes have risen to a new all-time high, above 131.

• The “Explosion of Debt” throughout the world: “The operative word in all this is “debt.” … Ultimately, Pluto in Capricorn indicates we will have no other choice but to deal with reality (debt) – or prolong the suffering of economic and financial contraction, along with high unemployment, indefinitely. The only question is: do we deal with it pragmatically right now, following the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression? Or do we continue on a path of self-delusion that believes we can spend our way out of it by incurring ever more debt, and thereby virtually guarantee another economic crisis or two – even more serious than that of 2008-2009 - before the end of the next decade?” This indeed was and is still the primary question politicians and economists throughout the world were asking in 2010, as Greece defaulted, followed by credit dpowngrades of many other countries, in Spring-Summer of 2010.

• The Federal Reserve: “The Fed will likely continue to exhibit accommodative monetary policies in 2011, but in an erratic, irregular manner… The Fed’s policies of 2008-2011 will result in “unintended and unforeseen consequences” in 2011, causing disruption and changes of plans.” The stock market rally and economy came to an abrupt halt in July 2011, shortly after the Fed’s QE2 policy ended. This is forcing the Fed to reconsider plans for a QE3 initiative, which it did not originally wish to do.

• • The USA Stock Market (Dow Jones Industrial Average): “This points to a crest when Jupiter is in early Aries and again when it is late Aries. Let’s say we get a crest in January-February, as Jupiter moves back into Aries, and then we get a sharp decline within a few weeks of the Saturn opposition on March 31. From there the stock market rallies again after Jupiter leaves its opposition to Saturn but while still in Aries, into May-June 2011… The 4-year cycle is due to top out in 2011-2012, and ideally by June 2011. The price target on the DJIA is 11,500-13,000.rdquo; .The stock market (DJIA) made a multi-year high on February 18, dropped sharply into a low in mid-March, and then made another new high on May 2 at 12,876 before falling over 16% as this is being written in early August.

• • Gold and Silver: “The longer-term cycle in Gold and Silver is up, perhaps through most of this decade. Any break below 980 in Gold or 1500 in Silver may alter this viewpoint. But until that happens, Gold is on course to reach 2000 or higher, maybe even much higher… There is no real limit to how high Silver can get during this period… A 17-month cycle trough in Gold is due within three months of July-August 2011. If it unfolds as scheduled, Gold could fall 150-480 points from the crest that precedes it.” As of this writing, Gold has made a new all-time high above 1800 with no serious break yet. Silver tested its all-time high of 50.00/ounce in April 2011, then dropped 35%.

And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates. Many of the 2010 critical reversal dates given for various markets have been impressive.* As of August 3, five of seven major reversal dates given for T-Note and T-Bond futures were accurate, including the exact date of the yearly low so far on April 5. The 8th one may be forming now into the August 20 critical reversal zone in effect as this is being written, as T-notes are now making yearly highs and their second highest level since the Great Panic highs of December 2008. Five of the seven critical reversal dates given for stock indices unfolded within only two trading days, including the exact date of the high of the year on April 25 (as of this writing in early August). Gold prices also turned nearby to its critical reversal dates in 6 of the 7 dates listed in this year’s book. All six (100%) of the currency dates hit with strong reversals within 2 trading days or less, including the low of the year on June 7 for the Euro currency. All nine critical reversals given for grains also coincided with powerful reversals within 4 trading days, and 6 of those were within two trading days, including the yearly low in Wheat on June 9. The high of the year was August 6, just 4 days past the August 2 critical reversal date (which was listed as possible as the entire period of July 23-August 9). Likewise all 6 of the critical reversal dates given for Crude Oil were right on the mark (within 5 trading days, and five within 2 trading days), including the low of the year directly on the May 20 reversal date that was listed.

* It is considered a “hit” if the reversal date coincides with a major, half-primary, or primary cycle, or a trading cycle from which prices reverse at least 4% in equity indices and commodities, and 2.5% in Treasuries or currencies.

Three reminders: 1) the annual Forecast book is ALWAYS written in October and November, and 2) ALWAYS mailed out when received back from the printer, which will be around December 19 this year. Most of you will receive it between December 20-23. If not pre-paid after 30 days, the order will be cancelled automatically and the offer price can not be guranteed after October 15.

Lecture 'Forecast for 2012' by Ray Merriman in Amsterdam

Saturday 21 January 2012 from 1:00-3:30PM in Huize Frankendael in Amsterdam. ‘Forecast for 2012’ and a subscribers meeting afterwards. Special discount for those who have bought the Forecast book, with early birds tariff in steps, the earlier one books, the bigger the advantage. Read more here>>