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Preview for the week beginning March 31, 2014

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Weighted values
Index 01 December 2020

DJIA: 70.9
Silver: 192.2 **

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Preview for the week beginning March 31, 2014

Preview for the week beginning March 31, 2014

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Review and Preview

Since our last column of two weeks ago, equity markets around the world have been mostly up, but with a struggle. In fact, the word “struggle” aptly describes the present day psychology of market investors, as well as banking and political leaders. This Jupiter-Uranus-Pluto cardinal T-square seems to be a Herculean challenge for Humankind, a time that might be described as the “Cosmic Sum of All Fears.” This is not a time to be “Tiptoeing through the Tulips,” even though spring has technically arrived. It has arrived like nails looking for hammers.

In Europe, March 14 marked the end of a sharp three-week decline and the start of a modest rally in the Netherlands AEX, German DAX, and Zurich SMI that continued through last week. The FTSE, however, was much weaker, and in fact didn’t end its decline until March 30. All four indices are well off their multi-year highs of the prior two months.

In the Far East and Pacific Rim, the performance of equity markets was very uneven. In India, the Sensex soared to a new all-time high last week. But in China and Hong Kong, the stock markets fell during the week of March 14 and 21 to their lowest levels since last July. They didn’t recover very much last week. The Nikkei flirted with the 14,000 mark in the last two weeks. That is critical, and a break below 14,000 would mark the first time in over two years that bearish chart pattern will have formed. We need to watch this area very carefully, for if Japan starts to fall, it could have a domino-like effect across the globe. And of course, what has happened in Russia’s MICEX stock index has been close to a panic. From a high of 1518 on February 18, the MICEX dropped to 1182 on March 14 following Russia’s swallowing of Crimea, a loss of over 20% as nations around the world began to impose economic sanctions on the Great Bear. In the last two weeks, the MICEX has retraced back to 1324, but it looks more like a corrective bounce than the start of a new bullish trend. It implies more pain to come to the Russian financial markets. To our readers and friends in Russia, you may want to take steps to protect your assets during this modest rally period, for if the harshest winds are still ahead in April, another swoon is readying.

In the Americas, it has also been a strange period for stocks. Since a test of 16,000 on March 14, the DJIA rallied back to 16,466 last week, only to falter again back towards 16,200. The rally was well below its all-time high of 16,588 on December 31. After reaching a new decade-long high on March 7 at 4371, the NASDAQ then tumbled all the way to the 4150 area last Thursday, March 27. Thus, intermarket bearish divergence from those highs is still in effect for the U.S. stock market. In South America, Brazil’s Bovespa is springing to life, soaring over 10% from the low of March 14 to test the 50,000 mark once again by late last week, In Argentina, the Merval Index is making new all-time highs as the week ended. So, the past two weeks have been very good for stock indices in some regions of the world (India and South America), and not so good in others (China, Hong Kong, Russia).

For Gold and Silver, the past two weeks have been difficult as well. On March 17, Gold soared to a new high for this New Year, hitting 1392.60. By Friday, March 28, it was testing 1285, a loss of over $100/ounce in less than 2 weeks, and nearly a 50% giveback of all its gains since the December 31 low at 1181.40. We will have a lot more to say about that in this month’s MMA Cycles Report, which will be released Monday evening, March 31. Silver has also fallen sharply, to its lowest level since late January, and nearing the 18.80 low that started the current primary cycle on December 31. Crude Oil, on the other hand, appears to be turning up again, as prices advanced back up over $102/barrel during the day on Friday. There is a message here that the Crude Oil market is sending the world about the unrest between Russia, Europe, and the USA. But it makes you wonder: if the USA and Western Europe really want to put financial pressure on Russia, wouldn’t they want Crude Oil prices to fall? Rising crude prices may indicate geopolitical tensions are increasing, but that is one of Russia’s primary sources of revenue.

 

Best Trade of the Week

Our best trade of the week in the weekly subscription report was in the stock market, which advised, “Aggressive traders are short with a stop-loss on a close above 16,505. Let’s cover all of these shorts on Monday. Let’s go long at 16,250 +/- 10 if offered with a stop-loss on a close below 16,000. Let’s sell short (and cover if long) at 16,500 +/- 50, with a stop-loss on a close above 16,650.” On Monday, the DJIA fell to 16,215. It then rallied to a high of 16,466 on Thursday. It then started to sell off again, closing the week at 16,322. Farmers, however, may think our Soybean recommendation was the best trade in the weekly report, as it advised, “Aggressive traders are flat and may buy at 1400 +/- 10 with a stop-loss on a close below 1365.” The low of the week was 1393-1/4. It closed the week at 1436-1/2.

Our trades on the daily program were limited to only 4 markets this week due to MMTA Course 5 taking place. Nevertheless, we had a profitable trade on Silver. Monday’s daily report stated, “Aggressive traders were short from Friday at 20.55 as the high was 20.58. We will be very short-term here, so let’s cover at 20.00+/- .05 if offered and stand aside.” That was filled easily.

 

Short-Term and Longer-Term Geocosmics

As stated in our last column of two weeks ago, “ Everything is escalating to the March 29-April 25 period, which may be the most intense planetary pattern of a lifetime. It doesn’t mean a specific event happens then, but it could. It could also be a very profound decision made by one of several government or banking leaders, the consequences of which may not be known right away. The last time anything remotely this powerful occurred was in late July-early August 2010. At that time, the Federal Reserve Board made the decision to not end its quantitative easing program, but instead expand it into QE2. It changed the entire financial world.”

The first Cardinal Climax of July-August 2010 did more than I implied. Not only did it start the destruction of the savings class, worldwide, but it also started a wave where other nations quickly followed the lead of the USA Central Bank and set into motion the worldwide “Currency Wars.” A big decision in that regard lies ahead, April 11-13 (the middle of this big geocosmic cluster), when the G20 nations meet to discuss, among other things, the Currency Wars. Something huge may be decided then that has long-term future repercussions.

However, we are on the brink of another wave of potential copycat behaviors that could alter the stability of the world. As Russia starts reclaiming control over ex-Soviet nations – those countries that buffer against its borders and/or contain a number of Russian speaking comrades – we may anticipate similar moves on the part of other nations over the remainder of this decade. It’s the threat of another type of war – military in this case, as suggested by Uranus in Aries. Western Europe and the United States are trying to frame this as a failed return to the past, to the archaic Cold War of the 20th century. But I think not. This is trend of the future, not a return to the past. We are in the crux of a profound geopolitical change in the world that could last until the middle of this new 21st century. Let me briefly explain:

When Uranus and Pluto started their new cycle with the conjunction of 1965-1966, it was the birth of progressive thought in western societies, as indicated by the faster moving planet, Uranus. My theory is that the faster moving planet is stronger in conjunctions, and the slower moving planet is stronger in oppositions. At the point of the waxing square between Uranus and Pluto (2012-2015), events and decisions unfold that identify the collective shift to the new dynamic of the slower moving planet and away from the faster one. We are in the midst of that transition now. The shift is from a Uranus - a progressive, liberal - world society, to one that is more Plutonian and central-government-control over the lives of individuals, by either mutual consensus, or whatever coercive means these leaders deem vital to…. their control. That shift will continue to gain dominance until it peaks around the time of the opposition in 2046-2048.

Does it have to be this way? No. However, the events that are unfolding (August 2013-April 2014), and as the cardinal T-square morphs into a cardinal grand square over the next four weeks, indicates that this is the direction of the events that are unfolding. Nothing is being done to alter this new direction. The rhetoric that such behavior is “old fashioned,” and so “20th century in thought,” fails to acknowledge one important point: This is What is Happening, and has nothing to do with What Should be Happening due to the “enlightenment” of Mankind since the mid-1960’s. If you want to know the future of the next 30-40 years, study the trends of the past five years, and especially the trends of August 2013 through May 2014. This is the time that the 30-40 year foundation of a world movement is being built. The events that happen now, and the political and banking decisions being made now, will shape our reality for the next 3-4 decades. And then we will start to shift again.

In the meantime, what to make of the next four weeks in terms of financial markets? Well let’s apply the same theory of conjunctions and oppositions. This week finds the new moon conjunct Uranus. Everyone thinks it will be volatile due to Uranus. Maybe. But the fastest moving point in this conjunction is the Moon, which is not so volatile. But then the week after that, it’s the opposition of the Sun and Mars, and Mars is the slower of the two in this opposition, so it suddenly switches to Mars energy, and that can be aggressive and wild. But April 20-23 finds two powerful oppositions unfolding: Jupiter in opposition to Pluto and Mars in opposition to Uranus. So that is truly the Uranus-Pluto period. This is when markets could get really wild. Yes, we need to allow an orb, maybe up to two weeks.

It’s all building up until then. I know the USA wants to adjust a “reset” button with Putin and Russia. Let’s just hope that this is the only button being considered during this period.

 

Personal: Last month we announced that MMA had received the Market Timing Digest award for “Best Market Timer of 2013” based on correctly calling the times of the eight largest moves of 2013 in the U.S. stock market. Now they have announced other awards (Gold, Silver, and Bronze) based on an expanded list of the 15 largest price moves. Here are their results announced this week, from Markettiming.nl in Amsterdam, Netherlands: 

These are the best Market Timers of 2013

Our Golden Medal is for: Raymond Merriman of the Merriman Market Analyst, Inc. in Farmington Hills, MI. Ray won convincingly by mentioning all 15 reversal dates that MTD published in in 2013;
The Silver Medal goes to: >Robin Handler of Handler & Associates, Inc - Robin mentioned 12 out of 15 reversal dates;
Bronze medals go to: Ted Phillips of Astro Advisory Services, Inc in Malibu, CA and Norm Winski of Astro Trend in Naples, FL and to Daniel Ciuntuc of Dharmik Market Timing in Iasi, Romania. Read more here>>

 

 

Announcements

  

 Financial Astrology newsletter

This week theMMA Cycles Report, and the Dutch SMT Cyclus Nieuwsbrief and the MMA Japan Cycles Report will come out. The first ones both cover Gold, Silver, US stock markets , Crude Oil, T-Notes and Euro/Dollar, the latter covers Nikkei Index,JGB bonds and $/Yen. MMA Cycles Reportalso contains Soybeans analysis and the SMT Cyclus Nieuwsbrief contains an extensive analysis the Dutch AEX index.

 Financial Astrology newsletter

MMA’s weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.

Forecast 2014


The Forecast 2014 Book and Vooruitzichten 2014 are out!
The Forecast 2014 Book covers the second Cardinal Climax peak period, which is in effect August 2013 through April 2014. It discusses the world and national outlook for the economy and politics, the collective psychology, “hot” times during the year to watch, as well as our long-term and yearly outlook for U.S. stock indices, Gold, Silver, Treasuries and interest rates, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. It is available as a print edition or e-book. Read more here>>

 

 

Disclaimer & State of Purpose

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the Schogt Market Timing & MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come.

The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

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