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Market Preview for the week beginning May 9, 2016

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Weighted values
Index 01 December 2020

DJIA: 70.9
Silver: 192.2 **

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Market Preview for the week beginning May 9, 2016

Market Preview for the week beginning May 9, 2016

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Review and Preview  

“Donald Trump said Tuesday he would ‘most likely’ replace Federal Reserve Board Chairwoman Janet Yellen if elected.” – David Harrison, “Trump: I’d Likely Seek New Fed Chief,” Wall Street Journal, May 6, 2016.

“If you think the battle between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump could be nasty, just wait until he starts on Janet Yellen with her natal full moon falling opposite his natal Mars on his Ascendant.” Our second YouTube interview on “The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures,” March 25, 2016.

World equity markets continued to fall last week from their 2016 highs of April 20-21, which was also an MAA three-star critical reversal period, and a time when Venus made its translation to the Uranus/Pluto square. On Friday’s new Moon, May 6, stocks dropped to their lowest price since those highs of two weeks ago.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance, fell from a high of 18,167 on April 20 to a low of 17,580 on Friday, May 6, after the nonfarm payroll reports showed an increase of only 160,000 jobs when expectations were for over 200,000. The market dropped, right to the extension of a former trendline as discussed in Part 1 of our YouTube series on “The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures.” The less-than-expected payroll numbers actually boosted stocks because 1) new jobs were still up, and 2) because the increase fell below expectations, it implies the Fed will not raise interest rates soon, despite their last announcement that they were cutting back from four increases to only two this year. Maybe there will be none prior to election now, again per our YouTube interviews. The Central Banks do not want Trump to win because he threatens their independence, ala Andrew Jackson. However, as far as equity markets are concerned, not raising the rates will likely propel the economy and stocks onward and upward, maybe enough to take away that campaign advantage for Trump that the economy is weak, as covered in interview #2.

In other markets, Gold and Silver made new multi-month highs on Monday, May 2, then declined into Thursday-Friday, and then Gold rallied again to test $1300 on Friday. It acted very much like a typical Mercury retrograde (April 28-May 22), by first breaking to new cycle highs, then falling below daily support, then rallying up again. Under Mercury retrograde, it seems to shift momentum every 1-4 days, exhibiting first bullish, then bearish, signals along the way, which turn out to be fake-outs. Currencies are doing the same cosmic dance, exploding to new cycle highs early last week, then falling rather hard into the end of the week. The Trickster Mercury seems to get added energy from Mars, who is also retrograde now through June 29. Treasuries were strong all week, while Crude Oil traded in a $3.00 range.

 

Short-Term Geocosmics

Our column last week stated, “… next week we will find a harmonious grand trine playing out between the Sun and Venus (in Taurus) to Jupiter and Pluto (in Virgo and Capricorn). That is an earth sign grand trine, which usually means “money.” This favorable configuration starts May 3 and lasts through May 13…. This is one reason why it is not wise to get too bearish on the stock market. Yes, equities can fall into this period, especially given that Mercury is retrograding at 23 degrees of Taurus, which makes a hard aspect to the New York Stock Exchange chart (May 17, 1792, known as “The Buttonwood” chart). If they do continue to fall into this period, it suggests a strong rally will follow”

Besides being in the middle of favorable Jupiter transits, which can give a temporary spike to stocks, there are other notable geocosmic signatures unfolding now. On Monday, Mercury will eclipse the Sun, a rare phenomenon that happens about 13 times per century. In the skies, it will look like a black speck crossing in front of the Sun for about 6-7 hours. If you are looking for it, use proper safety glasses. I am not sure that by itself will affect financial markets, but I think May 10 could, since that is when the midpoint to this Mercury retrograde period occurs, and midpoints of Mercury retrograde have a strong correlation to reversals in financial markets that did not reverse when Mercury turned retrograde on April 28, +/- 1 day.

Another important cosmic occurrence this week occurs when heliocentric Mercury begins its 11-day journey through Sagittarius, May 13-24. This will be fascinating because that pairing usually corresponds to sharp price movements in metals and currencies (usually up), but it is occurring near the end of Mercury retrograde, which is a time that is usually not very volatile for financial markets. Which will dominate? Or will we see both expressions manifest?

 

 

Longer-term Thoughts and Mundane Astrology

“Key U.S. economic information may have been leaked ahead of its release, judging from the price moves in key equity and bond futures contracts, according to a study released Monday. The European Central Bank published a working paper arguing that seven out of 21 market- moving announcements show evidence of “substantial informed trading” before the official release time. The authors looked at price movements 30 minutes before that data’s release and studied the movements in futures on the S&P 500 index and 10-year Treasury note. They did this on 21 indicators from January 2008 to March 2014…” Steve Goldstein, “U.S. Data is Being Leaked, ECB Study Suggests,” Market Watch, May 2, 2016.

“As stated before, Neptune can be sneaky, lurking invisibly behind the shadows as if part of the environment itself, while it goes about its subterfuge. It concocts ways to not be seen, and discretion is held in the highest regard in order to carry out a plot that others cannot see or discover easily. Neptune is stealth-like. When this behavior is applied to financial markets (or valuable jewelry, art, or financial portfolios), it can lead to such activities as thievery, bribery, embezzlement, hoaxes, and manipulation in order to make a financial fortune dishonestly. It can manifest as manipulation of financial markets. There have been several cases leading to charges of insider trading lately, but this may begin a new round of actual market manipulation by large firms, and even governments.” Forecast 2016 Book, written by Raymond Merriman, November 2015.

Life during the 36-year Saturn/Neptune waning square cycle has certainly been… strange, especially following the Uranus/Pluto waxing square of 2012-2015. Sometimes it seems overwhelming when you try to put together just how remarkable and bizarre these years have been, and continue to be today. It is hard to comprehend because we are living in it. When you are going through the experience, it is difficult to be objective about it. It is as if you need some time and distance away from the experience to realize just how profound it is. Did anyone imagine the emergence of ISIS before this period? Or that there would be a USA election between someone like Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who both possess the highest disapproval ratings of any two candidates running for the office of presidency ever? With Saturn/Neptune in hard aspect, the core psychological issue to navigate is “trust versus mistrust.” Who can you trust? This was supposed to be an election about character and trust. Instead, it has become a contest between two characters that are both mistrusted by the majority of Americans.

On top of that, we now learn what has been suspected all along: financial markets may be manipulated – taken advantage of - by those who pay for access to government data just before those announcements are made public, and which sharply affect market prices right afterwards. By engaging in this dishonest behavior (Saturn square Neptune), they gain an unfair advantage over others, which amounts to thievery (also a negative manifestation of Saturn square Neptune). Who is paying for this information? Who is agreeing to release it? We probably won’t know while the Saturn/Neptune aspect is in effect (through September 10), for Neptune is adept at hiding what it is doing, creating distractions away from the “hand in the cookie jar.”

The good news is that these transits will end, and the truth will eventually come out. With Pluto still in Capricorn through 2024, revelations of corruption will continue to come to the surface, and the public will continue to demand accountability and consequence. Right now, with Neptune having the ability to evade detection as well as accountability and consequence (domains of Saturn), these stealth-like activities will probably remain hard to discover.

However, looking ahead to 2020, we note that Jupiter, Saturn, and Pluto come together in Saturn’s ruling sign of Capricorn. The shift from dishonesty, in a climate of distrust, will start to give way to a climate based upon honesty and trust, resulting in a much different election climate. People think that both political parties are on the verge of self-destruction, never to return to what they once were. I don’t think so. I think in 2020, both parties will return to the higher standards of what they once were. Under the Capricorn stellium, the pendulum can radically shift back to the desire for unity and basic values that once made America great. That is what Capricorn does. That is what Saturn does when aligned with Jupiter (and Pluto). I think the election of 2020 will produce a leader that will go down as one of the great presidents in US history, along the lines of Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan, whether it is Elizabeth Warren or Paul Ryan.

The election of 2016 is a catalyst for this shift. It is also a turning point in a long-term social cycle that started with the Uranus/Pluto conjunction of 1965-66. Back then, the world exploded socially, politically, financially, and then manifested in the stormy violent protests of the 1968 election season. In 2012-2015, the world likewise erupted into great violence as the Uranus/Pluto first quarter cycle unfolded, highlighted by violent protests leading into the 2016 election right after the Uranus/Pluto hard aspect (again). The USA and the world made it through that period, despite the doom and gloom that the end was near. The pendulum of vast social change will make it through this one too… I think. Being a Capricorn myself, I always believe history repeats itself, But I always worry that the great German philosopher Friedrich Hegel may be right too, when he wrote, “What experience and history teach us is this: that people and governments have never learned anything from history.”

 

 

Announcements

  

MMA Daily and Weekly

The next Raymond Merriman webinar will take place Sunday, June 5
It will start 11:45 AM, Eastern Daylight time. It will last a little less than two hours, and will cover the outlook for interest rates, real estate market, grains and foods, gold, silver, the USA stock market, crude oil, and the U.S. Dollar. The cost will be $45.00. A power point of the slides will be included with your reservation. To reserve your spot at this event, >> please register here as we are open for reservation now.
Live attendance will be limited to 100 people. All of these webinars have sold out in the past, so reserve early and guarantee your slot.

 

Time for Crude Oil report

Our fourth interview on “The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures,” was posted on our YouTube station. This latest video contains a special section on the recent explosion upwards in Silver prices. All four interviews are available for viewing, with Dutch subtitles. [If enabled in YouTube by clicking 1st icon on the right side below your video screen.] The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures, Part 4 can be seen here. These videos are getting great reviews and are very relevant right now.Hosted by German Journalist and Astrologer Antonia Langsdorf interviewing Raymond Merriman, these YouTube videos describe the incredible spring geocosmic lineup now in force, and its association with financial markets and world affairs. You will not be disappointed. You will be surprised. And many of the conditions described are already starting to unfold, such as new cycle highs in stocks and the pullback in Gold.

 

The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) was released last week. Each issue contains an in-depth analysis of: the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), Corn (C) and Wheat (W). The analysis of these markets is written by three of the top graduates of the Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden), along with myself on the Australian markets, starting with this issue. One of the several good calls in last issue was in Wheat, where Izabella wrote "Let’s get out of half our (long) positions at 499.25+/-5.19 in the next two or three weeks… We expect the market to top April 19-20 or 22-25 as there will be strong aspects including Mars and Pluto turning retrograde" BINGO as the high was 510.75 on April 21, 2016. Nice call Izabella! If you do not subscribe to this report and would like to, you can read more and order here>>

 
Schogt Market Timing Autotrading            in  Top 3 Best Presterende Systemen Q1 2016

In Top 2 Best Performing Systems Q1 2016

We are happy and proud that Gold Cyclesmade it to # 2 of the 54 trade systems in Systemshop, winner Golden Bull best Investment Innovation 2013. Gold Cycles uses a proven method in which the correlation of certain market behaviour and planetary cycles form an important factor. Our success degree has been above 70% for years now. With 3 – 4 trades per month we try to build profits gradually. The system fits the investor who is willing to take some more risk with the view of achieving above average yields on medium term. Q1 2016 result is 57.83% profits for clients. For those of you who can read Dutch, read more here>> (Text page will also be avaiabe in English shortly.)

 

We are pleased to announce that the second MMA Investment Retreat will take place at the beautiful Kona Kai Resort on Shelter Island in San Diego, California, March 9-13, 2017, located right on the Pacific Ocean. You will be hearing more about this spectacular retreat soon, but save the dates now. One of our guest speakers will be Ted Lee Fisher, money manager, retired member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and a legend in Commodity Futures for his pioneering work on creating Treasury futures. He is one of the most profound thinkers I have met on the current situation in world financial markets – a brilliant man and savvy trader. We will soon be announcing 2-3 other special guests, along with the brightest minds from the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) who will present their latest research on the best investment ideas of 2017-2018. We will open up early registration for this event shortly. Stay tuned, and do not miss this powerfully enlightening event! Read more>>

MMA Daily and Weekly

Our MMA weekly and daily subscription reports have been very hot lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA’s Weekly or Daily Market reports. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, Japanese Yen (new!), T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.

Time for Crude Oil report

Attention crude oil traders!

A new report, titled, “Time for Crude Oil,” by MMTA graduate Nitin Bhandari, is being offered now since April 1. This service will consist of daily, weekly, and monthly reports on crude oil for active traders, investors, and hedgers. It will begin April 1. However, as an introductory offer, these reports will be available for free now through April 1! Nitin has been writing MMA daily crude oil report for two years now, and the monthly report on crude oil for the MMA Cycles Report for the last several months. He recently called the bottom in crude oil, and advised all traders to get long at that time. What is he advising now? To find out, sign up now for his new subscription reports on Crude Oil here to get your copies starting now.

 

 

Forecast 2016 E book

 

FORECAST 2016 Enlish and Dutch translation are both sold out, but still available as E BOOK!

No other book has informed and prepared readers for the Cardinal Climax period of 2008-2015 as precisely as Raymond Merriman’s annual Forecast Book. No other book has guided readers through this turbulent period since it began in 2008. Now, in 2016, we enter a different kind of period for the next two years that will require new strategies and a different set of skills to navigate these forces of change. This year’s book contains a special new section on the British Pound and the Indian stock market. Read more>>

 

Disclaimer & State of Purpose

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the Schogt Market Timing & MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come.

The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

 

 

 

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