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Market Preview for the week beginning August 29, 2016

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Market Preview for the week beginning August 29, 2016

Market Preview for the week beginning August 29, 2016

 

Review and Preview  

"The pre-prepared text from Yellen's speech at Jackson Hole today didn't necessarily offer much in the way of surprises but it did confirm one thing; there is now a clear and public hawkish consensus building within the Fed and Chair Yellen is on board," said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at currencies trading platform OANDA. – Jeff Cox, “Yellen: Case for Raising Rates has Strengthened ‘In Recent Months.’ CNBC.com, August 26, 2016.

She didn’t raise rates, and she didn’t indicate when the rates might rise, as the long-awaited policy announcement from Jackson Hole on Friday anticipated. But it was enough to cause many markets to first rally, and then fall hard. This market reaction was entirely consistent with the inconsistent Moon in Gemini (quarter Moon) that was in effect Friday when Yellen made her speech, causing the Ten Year Notes to soar to a weekly high, and then abruptly reverse to form a new multi-week low on the same day. Gemini is a mutable (changeable) sign, and it just happens to form another mutable T-square to the ongoing Saturn/Neptune mutable square.

Treasuries weren’t the only casualty of Yellen’s continued tease with markets and her never-ending non-commitment. It is actually more of a paralysis; a fear of making a mistake and causing a market crash. This is understandable within the dynamics of Saturn (fear) square Neptune (uncertainty). But that same dynamic can lead to a self-fulfilling prophesy in the absence of any clarity. In addition, even though she implied there might be cause for an interest rate hike soon, we continue to remind readers that as long as the Saturn/Neptune square is in effect, you cannot believe what you read, hear, or see. I do not believe she will make any firm announcement of a rate hike before the election and risk causing a market panic.

A similar pattern to Treasuries occurred in stocks, precious metals, and currencies. They all rose sharply at first as she spoke Friday. They all fell sharply after she alluded to the idea that the Fed might raise rates soon. It is all so unclear. It is all so mutable, and just before Mercury turns retrograde. As such, it can all turn again, unless you believe she will really allow the markets to plunge just before an election. Don’t believe what you see, hear, or read. She’s not moving. She is not the mutable Bernanke. She’s a fixed sign. And she wants another fixed sign in the White House, not an untamable, unpredictable Gemini mutable sign.

 

Short-Term Geocosmics

If you think the markets have been very uncertain over the past few weeks, just wait for these next two weeks. The next two weeks are quite possibly the peak of confusion and uncertainty as 1) Mercury turns retrograde in mutable Virgo, August 30-September 21-22, 2) there is a mutable solar eclipse on September 1 that makes a T-square to the Saturn/Neptune mutable square, 3) Saturn makes its third and final mutable square on September 10, and 4) the full moon is a mutable lunar eclipse on September 16. That’s a lot of mutable, and it involves a lot of Neptune, which means there will likely be a lot of… fog, rains, and mud (literally and figuratively). This will affect many markets, especially crude oil and treasuries, which in turn means that stocks, currencies, and metals will also be impacted. Look for reversals to recent trends in each market during the next 1-2 weeks. On a personal level, be careful of misinformation, misdirection, and deception (false rumors, mudslinging) from others, guard your reputation, and perhaps consider mediation and the pursuit of inner peace. Find an oasis within yourself.

As far as market reversals, we repeat from last week’s column: “One geocosmic signature that may offer optimism and prop up stock indices is Mercury conjunct Jupiter, taking place August 22-September 2.” Even though the market has fallen to its lowest level in three weeks on Friday, it can still reverse during this period. Remember that when Mercury is retrograde, markets can break support and resistance briefly, creating fake outs and false “buy and sell” signals. Don’t get faked out in this time band of illusion, confusion, and misdirection.

 

Long-Term Thoughts and Mundane Astrology

“Mr. Trump and Mrs. Clinton are the most disliked major party presidential nominees since polls have measured candidate favorability. A Pew Research Center survey taken in June found that 4 in 10 voters think neither would make a good president. Moreover, voters are frustrated with the two-party system itself… 54% said they wanted third-party options… The Commission (on Presidential Debates) should adopt a tiered system: For the first debate, on September 26, it should include third party candidates, who average at least 3%. Then it can apply the higher 15% for the final two debates on Oct. 9 and Oct. 19. This balanced approach would offer serious third party candidates at least some exposure, giving voters more information on the available choices.”  - Ron Faucheux, “The Debate Could User an Extra Mic,” Wall Street Journal, August 24, 2016.

“I have Republican friends who think that things couldn’t get worse than doubling down on Obama policies under Hillary Clinton… But they are wrong.” –Gregory Mankiw, George W. Bush appointee, “White House Economists Cool to Trump,” Wall Street Journal, August 26, 2016.

“We learned this week that Mrs. Clinton’s foundation issue goes far beyond the “appearance” of a conflict of interest. This is straight up pay to play…What we discovered this week is that one of the nation’s top officials created a private server that housed proof that she continued a secret, ongoing entwinement with her family foundation – despite ethical agreements – and that she destroyed public records. If that alone doesn’t disqualify her for the presidency, it’s hard to know what would.” – Kimberly A. Strassel, “The U.S. Department of Clinton,” Wall Street Journal, August 26, 2016.

We knew that under Saturn square Neptune, the 2016 USA presidential election would get ugly. We are aware that the two candidates seeking the highest office in the USA are the most disliked candidates since polling in this category began. What is hard to comprehend, however, is the lack of attention given by mainstream media to the other two candidates of the non-major political parties: Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. In the 2012 election, no third party candidate attracted even 1% of the popular vote. Today, Gary Johnson polls at 8.9% and Jill Stein at 3.6%, far more than four years ago. Yet you wouldn’t know this by watching or reading the main avenues of news today. Why is that? Why are Americans not being given an opportunity to hear the voices of other candidates? Do the majority of Americans even know they have two other choices that are not as disliked as the two main party candidates – and both are at least as qualified and more experienced than one of those two major candidates, and probably have a more highly regarded character and trust status with the public than either major party candidate? Is it really a wasted vote if you vote for someone other a major party candidate that you can’t support, which apparently is the case with 40% or more of American voters this year? Or is it possible that a vote for an alternate candidate might be at least an investment towards the next election cycle?

The lack of awareness of the alternate party candidates is a direct result of the media’s lack of reporting. The media, in a nation’s chart, is ruled by its natal Mercury (newspapers) and Uranus (internet and TV). The media is taking a beating right now by the Trump team, who claim the media is “rigging the election” in favor of Clinton. I might claim they are “rigging the election” more against Johnson and Stein, than against Trump, for Trump is at least receiving an abundance of media attention –even if mostly negative. The solar eclipse of this coming week (September 1) forms a T-square with the Saturn/Neptune square, and all three make a grand square to the USA Uranus in early Gemini. The press may indeed be biased in its reporting of this year’s election, and they are paying a steep price for doing so with much of the American public.

Yet the situation could become worse, not better, as a result of today’s behavior of the media. The press may be in danger of censorship by the time of the next election, for in the USA chart, Mercury (news and speech) and Pluto (threat to survival) are in a direct opposition at 24-27 degrees of Cancer and Capricorn respectively. The opposition itself suggests a threat to the freedom of speech, at some point in the USA history (and in its future). The fact that transiting Uranus is already making a T-square to this Mercury/Pluto opposition also highlights the negative reaction of the masses to the biased reporting of the press through 2018. But in 2020, Pluto will return to its natal position at 27° Capricorn, in opposition to Mercury, and this could coincide with the forced shut down of (some of) the press, or restriction of the Freedom to Speak. We already see this phenomena erupting on many college campuses in the USA. But by 2020, the danger is that it spreads into the general population, to even mainstream media outlets.

The beauty of astrology is that it can alert one to these possibilities. And then by our free choice, we can choose actions/reactions that determine the final outcome. Do we want a free and fair press? Do we value our own freedom of speech? If so, our willingness to defend it – and hence preserve those rights – is on the line, now through 2020. Allowing third or even fourth party candidates, with more than 3% public support, a seat on the first debate stage would be a giant step (choice) in that direction, as proposed  by Ron Faucheux in the quote above.

 

 

 

 

Announcements

  

It's that time of the year again! As in the past, SMT offers a special pre-publication discount rate for those who pre-order the next year’s book before October 31, 2016, and that discount period starts NOW. The price of the Forecast 2017 Book will be €52.00*. However, if pre-ordered before November 14, the cost is €47.00 The Forecast 2017 Book will be available in both paper and electronic editions. The regular price for the Forecast 2017 E book will be € 49.00*, but if ordered before November 14, 2016 the cost is €45.00**. There is no postage for the electronic book format. For the printed Forecast 2017 book read more here http://www.markettiming.nl/en/producten/forecast-2017 For the electronic version continue reading here http://www.markettiming.nl/en/producten/forecast-2017-ebook
*) Plus postage and VAT.
**) Plus VAT.
Additionally, all pre-order purchases qualify for a 10% discount on any 1-year of our financial markets subscription service! This includes the MMA Cycles Report, the MMA Weekly, and/or the MMA Daily reports, which provide specific analysis and recommendations to several financial markets, including the DJIA, S&P, NASDAQ, Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Currencies, Crude Oil, and Soybeans. It also includes the International Cycles Report (ICR) and Nitin Bhandari’s Crude Oil report (daily, weekly, and monthly).This is an exceptional time to subscribe to any of these reports, which have been exceptionally profitable in 2016.

 

The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) will be released this week. Each issue of ICR contains an in-depth analysis of: the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), Corn (C) and Wheat (W). The analysis of these markets is written by three of the top graduates of the Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden), along with myself on the Australian markets. These reports are excellent. If you do not subscribe to this report and would like to, please go to the information and ordering page of the MMTA International Cycles report>> Remember: a yearly subscription to this report is available right now with a special 10% discount until October 31, if also pre-ordering the Forecast 2017 Book.

 
MMA Daily and Weekly

Our MMA weekly and daily subscription reports have been very hot lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA’s Weekly or Daily Market reports. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, Japanese Yen (new!), T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.

The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures

New Video in "The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures" series

We just completed a fifth YouTube interview series last week (August 1). It is the next feature in the series following the four interviews on “The Incredible Spring Lineup of Geocosmic Signatures,” that were conducted in March and April. To view this new video, just go to https://youtu.be/sYrjIgM3GTY and you will find Part 5 of the Incredible Planetary Signatures series. This one covers the geocosmic and mundane outlook for August-September, featuring Crude Oil, DJIA, Gold, and Silver.

 

The second MMA Investment Retreat will take place at the beautiful Kona Kai Resort on Shelter Island in San Diego, California, March 9-13, 2017. One of our guest speakers will be Ted Lee Fisher, money manager, former member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and a legend in Commodity Futures trading. He is one of the most profound thinkers I have met on the current situation in world financial markets – a brilliant man and savvy trader. Egon von Greyerz of Matterhorn Asset Management in Zurich, Switzerland, an asset management company based on wealth preservation principles, will also be a guest speaker. Matterhorn has clients in over 40 countries and Gold vaults in Zurich, the Swiss Alps, Singapore and Hong Kong. Egon was one of the individuals behind the “Save Our Swiss Gold” referendum in Switzerland in 2015, and is well versed on the importance of Gold in a wealth protection strategy in these unstable times. Also present will be some of the brightest minds from the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) to present their latest research on the best investment ideas of 2017-2018, including MMA analysts Kat Powell and Nitin Bhandari, ICR analyst Ulric Aspegren and ICR editor Mark Shtayerman. Read more>>

 

Disclaimer & State of Purpose

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the Schogt Market Timing & MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come.

The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

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