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Market Preview for the week beginning May 25, 2020

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Market Preview for the week beginning May 25, 2020

Market Preview for the week beginning May 25, 2020

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Review   

Heavy hearts soared Monday (May 18) with news that Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine candidate — the frontrunner in the American market — seemed to be generating an immune response in Phase 1 trial subjects. The company’s stock valuation also surged, hitting $29 billion, an astonishing feat for a company that currently sells zero products. But was there good reason for so much enthusiasm? While Moderna blitzed the media, it revealed very little information — and most of what it did disclose were words, not data. – Helen Branswell, “Vaccine Experts Say Moderna Didn’t Produce Data Critical to Assessing Voved-19 Vaccine,” www.statnews.com, May 19, 2020.

Uncertainty. Mixed signals. That’s the nature of Venus retrograde in a square aspect to Neptune last week. It’s going to continue for a while, as this aspect unfolds in a 3-passages series through the end of July. Nothing is real; nothing is clear. So just sit back and try to relax without putting unnecessary stress on your self or those around you. You can’t make a detailed plan, so learn to be present in the moment.

On Monday, May 18, the Dow Jones Industrial Average exploded on news that Moderna had developed a promising vaccine in the fight against Covid-19. During the day, the DJIA was up over 1000 points from the prior Friday’s close, which was significant based on our market timing methods. On our May 17 webinar, the question was asked whether the powerful Venus retrograde of May 13 would coincide with a cycle high or low. I replied that it was most likely the major cycle low of May 14, one day later. However, the time band was still in effect, and if the DJIA rallied 1000 points early in the week, it could also become a half-primary cycle crest. Well, the market did that. The DJIA soared 1000 points on Monday, May 18, to a high of 24,708 and then started to trade sideways. Along with other indices, the DJIA went slightly higher on Thursday, May 21, to 24,718. However, last week the DJIA did not take out its cycle high of 24,764 made on April 29, whereas other markets (S&P and NASDAQ) did. As of now, the low of May 14 has held and so has the double top high of May 21. Thus, we have mixed signals and uncertainty, typical of Venus retrograde, and especially in a square aspect to Neptune.

No one knows for certain whether the Moderna vaccine will be the solution to COVID-19, or whether the Venus retrograde and the May 15 three-star CRD (geocosmic critical reversal date) coincided with a cycle low or high, or both in world stock indices. Yes, I know many readers view astrology as some sort of fortune-telling tool. But in reality, that is not how astrology works, or how it provides value to society. It is a study that belongs in the category of forecasting tools based on historical rates of frequency associated with cycles in human activity. It is not an oracle that can predict events with 100% certainty. We use studies that demonstrate correlations of 80% or more. There are very few geocosmic signatures that rise to the level of a 100% correlation to the culmination of market cycles. If that is what one is looking for, they need to look elsewhere. Experienced traders know that no market study is 100% efficient, and that different studies will yield different signals most of the time. That is, most of the time, various market studies yield conflicting outlooks based on past correspondences. Professional astrologers know this too in regard to astrological signatures. Venus retrograde, for example, has an 80% correlation to primary cycles in the past, allowing an orb of 12 trading days, and usually seven days or less. And within those 80% correspondences, 2/3 are with crests and 1/3 with troughs. Sometimes both types occur. The knowledge of patterns that unfold within cycles, combined with certain technical studies, help analysts make forecasts and develop trading strategies.

But let’s move forward, which is easier said than done following a week of three planets (Saturn, Venus, and Jupiter) turning retrograde, May 10-14. This set up itself has a high correlation to major reversals in most financial markets, +/- 1 week. That was apparent with Gold and Silver last week, as Silver soared to 18.16 on Wednesday, May 20, its highest price since it hit 18.92 on February 24, while Gold soared to 1775 on Monday May 18, but did not make a new high for this current cycle. That still stands at 1788.80 as of April 14. Crude Oil also continued its impressive rally, climbing to a high of 34.66 on Thursday, May 21, up five-fold from its low of 6.50 on April 21. Bitcoin tried to make a new multi-month high as it tested 10,000 on May 18 (its cycle high was 10,078 on May 8).

 

Short-term Geocosmics and Longer-Term Thoughts

Coronavirus lockdowns have had an “extreme” effect on daily carbon emissions, causing a 17% drop globally during peak confinement measures by early April – levels last seen in 2006.Carbon dioxide, emitted from burning fossil fuels such as oil, gas, and coal, is the greenhouse gas most responsible for global warming. It stays in the atmosphere about a century before dissipating. – Doyle Rice, “Pollution Falls During Pandemic Peak,” Doyle Rice, USA Today, May 20, 2020.

The period from 1890-1920, known as the Progressive Era, marks a period in U.S. history when the country underwent multiple changes. The Spanish-American War (1898) epitomized this shift towards global intervention. Population growth, waves of immigrants, advances in industry, and other factors led many Americans to the conclusion that the country’s governmental systems needed to be radically altered in order to better fit the interests of the nation. The country developed a new strategy concerning foreign affairs that differed from the traditional stances of the Founding Era. One such alteration was an increase in the country’s willingness to take military action in foreign conflicts. – Bill of Rights Institute, “The Turning Point in U.S. Foreign Policy,” https://billofrightsinstitute.org.

The retrograde Venus of May 13 has not yet exhibited a clear case of a cycle high or low in equity markets yet, even though historically its correlation to a primary type is 80%. If we include half-primary cycles, the correlation is 91.3%. When one of these cycles fails to happen in the time surrounding Venus retrograde, it will often unfold nearby to the midpoint, which will be June 3-4 in this current case. And there is also a very high correlation to primary or greater cycles around the time that Venus turns direct (June 25 +/- 10 trading days). It will be interesting to observe the period of June 18-30, for that is when three more planets will change direction, plus the second passage of the powerful Jupiter/Pluto conjunction. That is, on June 18, Mercury will turn retrograde, followed by Neptune doing the same on June 22. Then on June 25, Venus will turn direct, and on June 30, Jupiter will conjunct Pluto. The uncertainty regarding the future of the Covid-19 pandemic and the restrictions related to it are not likely to be determined by then. Nor is the future of the economy to be clear by then, and possibly not before July 12 when Mercury turns direct, or even by July 27 when the third and final passage of the Venus/Neptune square takes place.

When might we begin to see clarity – a real turning point – in regard to this pandemic? As discussed in last week’s webinar, perhaps not until after February 2021, when Neptune moves out of the orb of its opposition to the “supercharged degrees” of 15-19 Virgo, corresponding to the degrees of the 111-143-year cycle of the Uranus/Pluto conjunction in 1965-66.

The Forecast 2020 Book described this as the year of “Checkmate” and the “End and Beginning of a New Era,” based on the “Capricorn Stellium” involving Jupiter, Saturn, Pluto, and the Moon’s South Node in Capricorn (actually the Jupiter/Saturn conjunction takes place in 0° Aquarius on the winter solstice of December 21, 2020). At the time, it appeared that “Checkmate” might apply to the U.S.-China trade dispute, or the geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Neither side in these disputes was going to back down and a win-win resolution was not likely before someone got hurt and got hurt badly. Now, I am beginning to think “Checkmate” might apply to the novel coronavirus pandemic, and the winner is Mother Nature and ecology. The parties that got hurt badly are those that have been not been “friendly” to nature and ecology in recent years. These would include transportation (air and auto), manufacturing, air travel (tourism) and energy (oil). In a sense, they have been “checkmated” by Mother Nature and ecology due to the COVID-19 pandemic. No one could travel, and many could not work.

We tend to look at the Covid-19 in terms of the negatives it has brought into our lives. It has brought forth much human suffering and death. But there are positive developments too that have resulted, and many more to come. We are already witnessing a slew of creative, innovative ideas arising to solve these health challenges and develop new benefits for increased safety and protection living on this planet. This is indeed the start of a new era, typical of three of the five outmost planets (Jupiter, Saturn, and Pluto) forming conjunctions with one another. With this rare cosmic occurrence in one year, and with the sudden life and death conditions that have arisen during this year already, will come new inventions brought about by the need to adapt to new realities in this new era. This is not a surprise to those who study Mundane Astrology, for the “Capricorn Stellium of 2020” is something that we have not experienced in our lifetime. The last time three of the ten major synodic cycles (conjunctions between Jupiter and planets beyond its orbit) occurred within one year was 1882-1883, just before the 1890’s began an era that would transform the direction of human history forever. It was the beginning of the end of agriculture as dominant driver of the economy and the beginning a whole new set of inventions in transportation and communications. It also came with a lot of wars.

We are entering a portal of time just as significant as the 1890’s and early 1900’s. You can see it in the patterns forming in the heavens (if you are an astrologer), and you can see it manifesting in terms of human activity. As above, so below.

As investors, we need to consider those areas of life that are most likely to witness – and benefit from – new inventions and the application of those inventions. As astrologers, we know these areas of invention and opportunity will pertain to the element of air signs – communications, technology, space, and education. We also know that the era of earth signs (manufacturing and drilling into the earth for sources of energy, as well as working out of cubicles in office buildings) is coming to end. The fuel-driven automobiles and airplanes, as well as brick and mortar office buildings, retail stores, and malls of today, may look vastly antiquated in the next 20- and 200 years. We are transitioning from earth to air, from the material world to a world of new and original ideas. The next 6-12 years - between now and the time that the Moon’s North Node enters Aquarius-Capricorn, followed by the 45-year conjunction of Saturn and Uranus in Gemini – will likely be the optimal time to find and invest in those individuals who will create the companies that are aligned with this shift.

 

Announcements

 

 

 

The MMA Monthly Cycles Report for May 2020

and its sibling, Dutch SMT Cyclus Nieuwsbrief will be released this week. This month’s issue will follow up on last weekend’s webinar and the correlation of financial markets to the triple retrogrades of May 10-14, and the next set of triple retrogrades coming up in the second half of June, which also coincides with the second of three passages of the Jupiter/Pluto conjunction on June 30. This is another very important period and potential long-term cycle reversal for many markets. This month’s issue will outline the longer-term cycle labelings that these extreme moves (Jupiter/Pluto) indicate, and what they portend for the intermediate and short-term future. Every issue provides MMA’s outlook for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans. Each issue also contains MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver, complete with trading strategies for position traders during the next month. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Report and wish a copy of our outlook for financial markets, consider a 2 months trial for only 66 USD. Read more aboutMMA Cycles Report>> and/or SMT Cyclus Nieuwsbrief >>;

 

 
SPECIAL MMA WEBINAR: WHERE WE ARE NOW IN THE LONG-TERM CYCLES OF FINANCIAL MARKETS

The MMA special webinar on Financial Markets

was completed Sunday. It was a 3-hour event with cyclical correlations to today’s markets and strategies for trading and investing. The MP4 recordings are now available!

This broadcast addressed the geocosmic outlook through the summer related to the economic and political arenas of the world and nation. It also included updates on the U.S. stock market, and Gold and Silver by Raymond Merriman, Crude Oil with Gianni Di Poce, and the Euro currency with Ulric Aspegren. Cost of MP$ recording is $55.00/€ 53,00 and includes the slides of the presentation. The the timing of this presentation was chosen to coincide with our May 15-18 three-star CRD, which involves Venus, Jupiter, and Saturn turning retrograde, which we have marked as one of the most important turning points of the year 2020. Here are some comments from the webinar>>

 

 

The ICR (International Cycles Reports) was released last week, May 18-19.

The ICR Financials includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The new ICR Commodities Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA Analyst Raymond Merriman (China markets), MMA Analyst Ulric Aspegren (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanov (Grains), and Ken Liao (Hang Seng) and Gianni Di Poce (Australian ASX and Dollar, and Live Cattle). Order now to make sure you get this month’s report!

 
 

It’s a great way to learn the basics of MMA Market Timing Methods!

Recently we conducted three 2-hour webinars on how to use MMA market timing methods to improve your market timing and trading skills. These were excellent classes and the feedback was very good! If you are interested in these three classes, the MP4’s are now ready for purchase. ... If you wish to learn more about this course and what to expect, please read our interview with Ray Merriman. where he discusses in great detail what he will teach and who this class will benefit. If you are interested in either the full three-part course, or an individual class, please visit our Education page to sign up.

Comments from attendees: “I very much enjoyed reviewing information from the 3 series.” Rob C, Australia and also an MMTA graduate and trader.
“Thanks for the course it could not have been presented any better, I like how you emphasized and reviewed the important points such as the 3 phase patterns, and I like how class 3 pulled it altogether.” Charlie H, exceptional trader and Gann analyst.

 

Irma Schogt, Amstelveen, Workshop Market Analysis 2020

Financial-astrological asset management in high demand

Financial-astrological asset management, using the techniques of the market timing method, has an extra edge for long-term investings. Find out what we and "the marketing timing method" can do for you. Read more>>

Saturnus guarding your privacy

 

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Disclaimer & State of Purpose

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the Schogt Market Timing & MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come.

The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.