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Market Preview for the week beginning December 16, 2019

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Market Preview for the week beginning December 16, 2019

Market Preview for the week beginning December 16, 2019

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Review & Preview

President Trump has agreed to a limited trade pact with Beijing that will roll back existing tariff rates on Chinese goods and cancel new levies set to take place on Sunday as part of a deal to boost Chinese purchases of U.S. farm goods and obtain other concessions. – Lingling Wei, Bob Davis, William Mauldin, and Josh Zumbrun, “U.S. Agrees to Limited China Trade Deal,” Wall Street Journal, December 13, 2019.

Not bad for a Friday the 13th. The holiday season known for “giving” was very much in evidence last week as a lot of good things happened for financial markets. For one, the Fed announced that it would leave rates steady for the indefinite future, or until inflation shows signs of rising beyond the boundaries the Fed has established as “in control” for more than just a short-term. It was an unspoken understanding that they would not move rates at all during the upcoming election year. However, they probably are not aware that between May 13 and June 25, 2020, Venus will turn retrograde, a time when they (or other central banks) often change their policies with unexpected announcements of policy changes.

The second good thing that happened for financial markets was that the UK elections finally provided a clearer path for Brexit, the divorce from the Euro Union as voted on over three years ago. The markets can remove that uncertainty from their list of concerns for now (although it will create new concerns as a result).

The third good thing that happened was that the U.S. and China finally announced a “first phase” (of three phases) trade agreement, with the idea that the agreement will be signed January 3. On this good news, the equity markets of the world cheered, especially in the U.S. where the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ all soared to new all-time highs. So did the Bovespa in Brazil. Many other markets are either testing their all-time highs or making new multi-year highs.

The behavior of equity markets last week was enough to make one think that the geocosmic correlations to stock market activity are alive and well. The U.S. (and other world) markets struggled after their all-time highs of November 27 (DJIA and NASDAQ) and December 2 (S&P). The low of last week occurred Tuesday-Wednesday, December 10-11, as Venus conjoined Saturn (December 11). One of our rules is that any market declining into a hard Venus/Saturn aspect is a candidate for a rally. The idea that stocks would rally big time was anticipated because right after the Venus/Saturn repression, Jupiter (exaggeration and hop) would make a favorable trine aspect to Uranus (breaking through barriers of support or resistance) on December 15. It was right along with the outlook described last week as, “Yet, with Jupiter trine Uranus following those conjunctions (Venus to Saturn and Pluto), there may also be signs of a trade deal between the U.S. and China, which would make sense as new tariffs are scheduled to be launched December 15… it could also mean the final details of a limited agreement suddenly come to fruition. That could be the trigger providing the impetus for another record high by the end of the year, for the Sun will then conjunct Jupiter and trine Uranus, December 24-27.” So, the world got a “limited trade deal” (Saturn) between the U.S. and China, and then a big (Jupiter) rally in equities all over the world. It wasn’t the big, beautiful trade deal that was promised before, but then that promise was made when the expansive planet of Jupiter was in the expansive sign of Sagittarius. Now it is in Capricorn. Big, beautiful deals are downgraded now to acceptable, limited deals.

It was also an excellent week for Crude Oil, which is co-ruled by Jupiter. For the first time since September, Crude Oil traded above $60/barrel. Gold and Silver held up very well. Gold even made a new cycle high, trading briefly above $1490 on Thursday, December 12, for the first time since it broke on November 7. As long as Mars is in Scorpio, and it doesn’t break below 1450, it has bullish legs. Bitcoin, on the other hand, is mired in congestion between 7000 and 7500. However, it is due for a lunar cycle low by the middle of this week.

 

Short-Term Geocosmics and Longer-Term Thoughts 

 

The U.S. government deficit spiked 12 percent to $342 billion during the first two months of fiscal year 2020, according to data from the Congressional Budget Office. The CBO says the U.S. budget deficit will average $1.2 trillion a year from 2020 to 2029, amounting to 4.4 percent to 4.8 percent of gross domestic product. The federal deficit was $587 billion when President Trump took office in January 2017, and had ballooned to $984 billion in 2019.– Jonathan Garber, “U.S. Deficit Soars to $342 Billion in Two Months,” www.foxbusiness.com, December 10, 2019.

The celebratory Jupiter transits will remain in force through December 27 when the Sun conjoins it, trine Uranus. Thus, even with the Capricorn background of these planets, it still creates a feel-good sensation about the future. For now. It could all change early next year when the Sun leaves Jupiter and joins up with Saturn and Pluto in Capricorn, January 10-13. During that time, Uranus will also change directions, which means a lot of trends may also change directions around that time.

But for now, let’s enjoy the season and the breakthrough of several concerns that have plagued the market and world leaders all year. We will reserve our worries for next year until …. next year. You can read all about it in this year’s Forecast 2020 Book, which goes out Monday. It’s going to be quite the year, cosmically-speaking

 

Holiday Publication Schedule 

MMA will take a holiday vacation after next week. There will be no subscription reports or columns written after December 23, until January 3. Have fun! With all this Jupiter energy in effect through December 27, there is no reason why one should not. However, you may have to be careful of having too much fun. Jupiter oftentimes has difficulty knowing its boundaries, or the boundaries of others. But with common sense and a little respect for others, the promise for a great holiday season is possible for businesses and individuals alike. It may actually feel like we are working in harmony with one another, that we recognize those things that connect us with one another, rather than those things that set us apart. Enjoy!

 

 

Announcements

 

 

New MMA ICR Monthly Cycles Reports will be issued THIS WEEK,

December 16-18 The ICR Financials includes analysis on ASX (Australian Stock Index), RUT (Russell 2000), SSE (Chinese Shanghai Stock Composite), HSI (Hang Seng Index), AUD (Australian Dollar), DXY (US Dollar), and GBP (British Pound). The new ICR Commodities Report includes analysis on LC (Live Cattle), MJ (Cannabis), XAU (Gold and Silver), KT (Coffee), KA (Sugar), C (Corn), and W (Wheat). These reports are written by MMA Analyst and editor Mark Shyterman (metals, stock indices, and soft commodities), MMA Analyst Raymond Merriman (China markets), MMA Analyst Ulric Aspegren (Currencies), Isabella Suleymanov (Grains), and Massimo Moras (Live Cattle and Hang Seng).

 
SPECIAL ANNUAL REPORTS ON JAPANESE, CHINESE AND GERMAN STOCK INDICES 

SPECIAL ANNUAL REPORTS ON JAPANESE, CHINESE AND GERMAN STOCK INDICES

This year’s English edition of the Forecast 2020 Book is 250 pages, our largest ever. We think readers will be pleased with additional analysis on the three synodic cycles that will be in effect in 2020, something that has happened in over 130 years. The correlation of these cycles to mundane, political , and economic events is fascinating, especially the research on the longest of these planetary cycles beginning this year: the 32-37 year Saturn/Pluto conjunction.

In addition to the English edition of Forecast 2020, Raymond Merriman has written three special 9-page yearly market reports/forecasts for the Japanese Nikkei, Chinese Shanghai Composite, and the German DAX stock indices. Each of these are translated and printed in their respective Japanese, Chinese, and German book editions of Forecast 2020.

Many of our English readers and global investors may find these reports to be of special interest too. Therefore, we will make each of these reports available for purchase for $30 apiece. They are written in English and analyze each of these markets from the perspective of their long- and intermediate-term cycles, as well as citing their correlations to planetary cycles in effect in 2020, such as the history of the three major synodic cycles that will unfold next year.

 
 

The MMA Monthly Cycles Report

and its sibling, Dutch SMT Cyclus Nieuwsbrief were released last week, Tuesday December 10/Wednesday-Thursday (NL) to all active subscribers of that report. Every issue provides MMA’s intermediate-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, Gold and Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans. Each issue also contains MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver. If you are not a subscriber to the monthly MMA Cycles Report / SMT Cyclus Nieuwsbrief>> and wish a copy of this month’s outlook for financial markets, consider trying the December and January issue for only € 59. With stocks approaching their all-time highs again, and Gold recently making a new 6-year high, and Jupiter now leaving Sagittarius as the 2020 “Capricorn Stellium” begins, this is an important juncture for many financial markets.
Go to MMA Cycles Report>> or the SMT Cyclus Nieuwsbrief >>;

 
Cycles Analysis and Planeatry Signatures - translated to your asset portfolio

Asset Management by investing according to the Market Timing Method is available now


Made possible in The Netherlands: Investments of the Cycles Analysis & Planetary Synschronicities' managed Portfolio (CAPS) are based on analysis of market history, by a team of MMTA-Graduates. Read more>>

 

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Disclaimer & State of Purpose

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the Schogt Market Timing & MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come.

The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.