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Market Preview for the week beginning December 10, 2018

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Market Preview for the week beginning December 10, 2018

Market Preview for the week beginning December 10, 2018

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Review and Preview

Job growth slowed in November amid fears that economic growth is losing steam. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 155,000 for the month while the unemployment rate again held at 3.7 percent, its lowest since 1969, the Labor Department reported Friday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting payroll growth of 198,000 and the jobless rate to hold steady. Average hourly earnings again rose at a 3.1 percent pace from a year ago. - -Jeff Cox, “November’s Jobs Report Falls short of Expectations,” https://www.cnbc.com, December 7, 2018.

U.S. stocks suffered steep declines after the arrest of a top Chinese tech executive fanned trade war worries and a swoon in oil prices worsened fears about the health of the global economy, “Volatility is back because investors have a lot of questions. Will the trade war escalate? Will the Fed hike rates too far? Will these factors tip the economy into a recession?” says Alan Skrainka, chief investment officer of Cornerstone Wealth Management. – Adam Shell, “Stocks are Plunging. Here’s What You Can Do,” USA Today, December 7, 2018.

President Donald Trump has been consulting with his advisors to see if his trade policies are responsible for the volatility that has hammered markets in recent weeks, according to The Wall Street Journal. Stocks took their latest downturn after the president declared himself "a Tariff Man" in a tweet Tuesday. The White House has been embroiled in a trade dispute with China, and Trump has pledged to take a hard line in negotiations. The Journal report and a number of tweets from the president suggest that he still blames the Federal Reserve's rate hikes for the market issues. However, stocks have continued to slide this week even amid expectations that the Fed may ease up on its rate-hiking cycle.

It was another hard week for world equities following the so-called positive meetings last weekend in Buenos Aires between President Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. But ultimately the script followed almost to perfection the storyline laid out by the cosmos as reported in this column last week, which stated, “The DJIA continued higher into the close of the week on hopes of a breakthrough this weekend in the trade dispute between China and the U.S.A., during the G-20 summit taking place in Buenos Aires. The only problem from the cosmic viewpoint is that these optimistic and hopeful themes of Jupiter and Sagittarius begin losing some of their luster now… so what was joyous and happy this past week may start out next week with a more somber assessment of what is real and possible... How will the markets respond? It depends on whether they believe the words and the show, or not. If they believe it, stock indices can soar next week, especially with the “irrational exuberance” of the Sun in Sagittarius square Mars and Neptune. Or, the opposite can happen if the investment community senses that this is not going to work, if it is all too abstract, lacking in details and specifics; in that case the negative side of these aspects manifests as lost trust leading to hysteria and panic.” The week started out great, with the DJIA up over 400 points on the opening. But by the end of the week, the DJIA had lost over 1700 points from Monday’s high. Worse yet, the mood of the investment community is now ensconced in the realization that this is rapidly becoming a bear market, with each rally lower than the last, and prices now on the verge of breaking to new yearly lows. That has already happened in many markets, and the DJIA is not far behind.

The bad news for equities was good news for Gold and Silver. Gold finally closed above $1250 for the first time since July 11, still supporting MMA’s special reports of last August that a long-term cycle low was due, and had probably occurred on August 16 at 1167. Silver also had a good week, closing up nearly 50 cents, but not yet to a new high for this primary cycle. We will issue a special longer-term analysis on Silver in this week’s MMA Cycles Report, coming out Monday night, as it is exhibiting some interesting market timing triggers that indicate something important may be starting within the next 4 months.

The good news for metals, however, did not translate into good news for bitcoin, which fell to another new yearly low around $3200 on Friday. However, this too is following the script outlined over the past several months in our MMA Weekly Bitcoin reports, as well as our webinars during the first half of 2018. This is a market to pay close attention to now, for I think an outstanding opportunity is readying.

 

Short-Term Geocosmics and Longer-Term Thoughts 

The cosmic emphasis upon Jupiter and Neptune last week was a preview of what to expect for most of 2019, when Jupiter will make its waning square to Neptune three times, starting in mid-January.

This is one of the classical bankruptcy signatures in Financial Astrology, a time when people, as well as counties and companies, are prone to become too careless with monies, spending far more than they can afford. It is a time of over-optimistic hopes and dreams, most of which are not realistic. It is a combination of comedy and tragedy, because on the one hand, Saturn and Pluto in Capricorn, with the eclipse coming up in Capricorn in early January, portends the resolution to be disciplined and careful in finances. But then, on the other hand, Jupiter square Neptune looks at that shiny new car, that sparkling new piece of jewelry, and suddenly out goes that promised practicality and commitment to build one’s bank account. Out the window it goes for the fulfillment of an urge for immediate gratification. And then the bill comes due and you ask: “What was I thinking?” That’s the problem. You weren’t thinking. You were wishing upon a star, convincing yourself that you deserved this. Instead, you deserved a credit downgrade. I speak as if it is personal, but this is not just an individual problem. It is a problem with many governments that we are likely to see explode next year with Jupiter square Neptune. And that’s just the setup for the Capricorn Stellium that follows in 2020. If Jupiter in Sagittarius was overconfident and positive in 2018-2019, then Jupiter, Saturn, and Pluto converging in Capricorn right afterwards can be downright worried and pessimistic, unless it has planned well for this period. After all, in recessions and downturns, great bargains are possible for those who have cash.

The major challenge for Financial Astrologers is to determine whether the 2019 Jupiter/Neptune waning square will be the start of a real financial panic, or if this downturn will suddenly reverse and witness a huge rally and a “bubble” in stock prices. With Jupiter and Neptune, it can either be “irrational exuberance,” to borrow a phrase from former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan, or hysteria and panic where people lose all sense of control and faith in their leaders. Right now, it looks more like the latter is happening. But I would not give up on Jupiter in Sagittarius just yet. After all, historically, it is one of the strongest planet-sign combinations correlating to strong rallies in global equities before it is over. Of course, you can have a steep selloff first, after which rallies can look very impressive. But generally speaking, the stock market makes longer-term cycle highs with Jupiter in Sagittarius (November 8, 2018-December 2, 2019), and then the air escapes out of the bubble as Jupiter advances into Capricorn-Aquarius (2020-2021). What went up must come down.

 

 

Announcements

 

There will be a Special Silver Report issued in the monthly MMA Cycles Report, which will come out this Monday evening This report will go out to all of those who have ordered Forecast 2019 book. If you wish a copy of this Special Update on Silver, consider a trial subscription to the MMA Cycles Report, or ordering the Forecast 2019 Book while supplies last.

Each issue of the MMA Cycles Report contains our future outlook for U.S. stock indices (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans, plus MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks for DJIA, Gold, and Silver. The monthly MMA Japan Cycles report will also come out this week, covering the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The MMA European Cycles Report will also be released this week, covering the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX. If you are not a subscriber to the MMA Cycles Reports and wish a copy of this month’s outlook for financial markets, as well as last month’s special report on Gold, consider taking out a subscription NOW, while MMA’s special sale on one-year reports are still good until the end of this month. It is also available in Dutch language, read more here>>

 

Congress Outlook 2019 & Beyond,
The reversal of the current economic cycle - highlighted by experts

The rarest combination in more than 2,000 years of planets with an enormous connection to financial and economic affairs on earth. What effects can this have on which currencies, financial markets and institutions? This is the main topic on The Congress Forecast 2019 & Beyond which will take place Saturday January 19, 2019 at the Hotel Breukelen outside of Amsterdam, and feature Karen Hamaker-Zondag, Antonia Langsdorf, Raymond Merriman and Irma Schogt.

And of course, based on the Forecast 2019 Book, Ray will also share his forecast for several financial markets, including Gold, Bitcoin, the USA and other stock markets, crude oil, and Euro/U.S. Dollar. If you are an investor or trader, or just interested in the correlation between cycles in human activity and the cosmos, this is a congress you will not want to miss!Read more>>

MMA Forecast 2019 Book

The Forecast 2019 Book is done and will be delivered next week. It makes an EXCELLENT HOLIDAY GIFT!

For a fast as possible delivery, the Forecast 2019 bookhas been printed in The Netherlands this time. The book will also be availble as Ebook. Expected delivery remains on track for December 15. This could be our best book yet. For more information on this annual best seller, read more here>>

-The annual Forecast Book provides an excellent roadmap for the year and years ahead, this allows the reader to identify various trends and time of those trends to make investment and trading decisions. I've found the identification of these timings uncanny, especially if you combine it with normal risk management fundamental and technical trading systems. Uranus in Taurus is a particularly exciting time to be setting longer term investments. MJ, Sydney, Australia, CFO/Investor/Day Trader – indexes, currencies, and soft commodities.

 

Another Great Holiday Gift Idea!

The best way to start your learning of cycles and geocosmic correlations to market cycles is with the MP4 recording on “Cosmic Cycles Are Forever.” This workshop by Raymond Merriman features valuable tools for understanding market cycles, identifying trends, and timing changes of trends in financial markets using cycle studies and geocosmic studies along with technical tools and charting analysis. In this masterclass, the historical correlation of stock markets, currencies, precious metals and bitcoin to certain planetary and solar/lunar cycles present in today’s cosmos are examined, with an eye on what to anticipate between 2018 and 2020, both in terms of world politics and financial markets, as well as shorter-term forecasting projections. Read more>>

 

I have been asked by several readers how to invest in Live Cattle, based on Uranus moving into Taurus. There are no ETF’s or stocks that I can recommend. The only way I know to trade Live Cattle is via the futures markets. Many of you know that futures markets are very high leverage and hence high risk. It also presents considerable profit opportunities. If you want guidance from a commodities futures expert and broker that I respect highly, and have used for over 30 years, I would point you to Jimmy Jones at 1-800-274-5333. Jimmy is an excellent cycles’ analyst who worked with Walter Bressert, my own mentor in cycles analysis. In fact, Jimmy, Walter, and I used to present cycle studies at major commodity futures conferences together. Jimmy and Walter have done excellent research on various commodity markets related to cycles and technical studies, and Jimmy has great respect for Financial Astrology as a valuable market timing tool (so did Walter, who, as many of you know, is a legend in cycle studies).

Saturnus guarding your privacy

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Disclaimer & State of Purpose

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the Schogt Market Timing & MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come.

The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.